Case study · Hawaii

Hawaii: paying for home batteries to replace a coal plant

Oahu’s last coal plant closed before its replacement was ready. Battery Bonus bought 50 MW of committed home-battery capacity in three years. The utility estimates about 15 MW showed up each evening.

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The short answer

  • The problem: Oahu’s last coal plant was closing before its replacement was ready. The 180 MW AES plant shut on September 1, 2022 (Hawaiian Electric coal release). The giant Kapolei battery that replaced it did not start until December 2023 (ASCE).
  • The solution paid homes to add batteries and run them every evening. Battery Bonus paid $850 per kW committed upfront, plus $5 per kW a month for 10 years, for two hours of daily discharge between 6 and 8:30 p.m. (Battery Bonus program page).
  • Enrollment beat the target; delivery did not keep pace. 6,724 customers committed 50.76 MW (2026 program review report). An evaluation found only about 31% delivered their commitment on schedule (2024 program review report), and the utility estimated about 15 MW was actually shifted (Hawaiian Electric’s NASEO presentation).
  • The verdict: a fast bridge, at a high price per delivered kW. About $145 per committed kW a year becomes roughly $454 per kW actually shifted. The utility says its grid-service programs scored below 1.0 on benefit-cost, “primarily due to SDP’s high incentive expenses.”
6,724customers, Oahu and Maui
50.76 MWcommitted capacity
~31%delivered commitment on time
~$454per kW shifted, each year (estimate)

The problem: a coal plant closing ahead of its replacement

The AES Hawaii coal plant supplied about 16% of Oahu’s energy in 2020 (Hawaii State Energy Office). Its 30-year contract ended in September 2022. Hawaiian Electric warned that the retirement would lift bills by about 7%, or roughly $15 a month for a typical home (Hawaiian Electric).

The replacements were late. Several solar-and-storage projects slipped, and planners expected the biggest evening shortfalls in 2023 (VEIC). Oahu’s peak comes after sunset, about 6 to 8:30 p.m., when rooftop solar has gone quiet. In June 2021, the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission (PUC) approved an emergency program to fill that gap (Utility Dive).

What the shortfall costs

Without enough evening supply, the grid operator has to shed load: rolling blackouts. Oahu came close on July 31, 2024, when an outage at the Kalaeloa plant triggered blackout warnings. Conservation, storage and demand response cut about 40 MW that evening (state Division of Consumer Advocacy update, Honolulu Star-Advertiser).

Every evening kilowatt-hour is also expensive. Oahu’s time-of-use rate charged 46.3¢ per kWh on peak in December 2024 (TOU-RI rate history). In October 2026, a 500 kWh residential bill was $246.44, close to 49¢ per kWh, as fuel costs rose (October 2026 fuel adjustment filing). The permanent fix was utility-scale storage: Kapolei Energy Storage, 185 MW and 565 MWh, began operating more than a year after the coal plant closed (Canary Media). A second, 142 MW project followed (Kapolei Energy Storage II).

The solution: pay for committed kilowatts, upfront

The PUC’s Order No. 37816 created the Scheduled Dispatch Program, sold to customers as Battery Bonus (PUC distributed energy programs page). It opened on Oahu in July 2021 and on Maui in May 2022. Unlike Puerto Rico’s program, it did not use batteries already installed. It paid customers to add a new battery to rooftop solar and commit part of its output (Battery Bonus fact sheet).

Upfront

$850 per committed kW

Paid once. A 5 kW commitment earned $4,250. When the utility set every tier at $850, it lowered Oahu’s cap from 50 MW to 40 MW (Hawaiian Electric’s refinement notice).

Monthly

$5 per kW for 10 years

A bill credit of $25 a month for 5 kW, for the full 10-year commitment. Customers not on net metering also got an export credit for three years.

Obligation

Two hours, every day

Discharge for two consecutive hours, at a start time set by the utility between 6 and 8:30 p.m., every day of the year, including weekends.

Penalty

Bill penalty, after notice

If meter data showed a system not performing, the customer was asked to fix it; a monthly bill penalty applied if it stayed out of compliance.

Demand was strong. The program passed its Oahu cap on December 13, 2023 (cap announcement). Contractors rushed to finish: at the end of 2024, more than 1,600 applications were still in progress, and extensions ran into 2025 (Hawaiian Electric 2024 review). Hawaiian Electric also earned a performance incentive for grid services under its performance-based regulation: $36,160 in 2022 and $1.05 million in 2023 (RMI’s performance incentive tracker).

Scheduled, not dispatched

This is the nuance that defines the program. Battery Bonus never calls an event. Each battery is programmed once, at installation, to discharge at a fixed time every day. Hawaiian Electric staggers start times so the fleet ramps by about 2 MW a minute rather than all at once at 6:00 p.m. It then checks after the fact, using smart-meter data, whether each home delivered.

  1. The schedule is cheap to run. No aggregator, no dispatch platform and no live telemetry. The installer sets the schedule.
  2. The utility cannot see or change it in real time. Tesla systems could only be scheduled in 15-minute steps, so a 6:04 p.m. start became 6:15 p.m. Reassigning start times to fit could have spread the program from 5:00 p.m. to after 7:00 p.m. (2024 review, program operations).
  3. Other software can override it. On storm days in October 2024, Tesla’s Storm Watch feature charged many batteries from the grid ahead of the weather, raising load rather than lowering it. The utility said the result could have been worse on a typical weekday with less reserve.
  4. Minute-level coordination is hard. Hawaiian Electric’s own lesson: “Minute level dispatch very difficult to do” (NASEO presentation slides).
Hardware and control

Battery, solar and a timer

Two-way inverters and batteries capable of VPP duty, but controlled by a fixed schedule rather than a dispatch signal.

How it is used

Scheduled daily dispatch

The same two hours every day for 10 years, emergency or not. Not event demand response, and not an orchestrated virtual power plant (VPP).

What it is not

Responsive

No change in output for a plant outage, a cloudy day or a mild evening. The grid gets a predictable shape, if every battery follows its schedule.

Money trail for one Battery Bonus kilowatt

Who pays whom, from every Hawaiian Electric customer to battery households, per committed kW and for the whole program.

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MONEY TRAIL FOR ONE COMMITTED KILOWATT (kW) OF BATTERY BONUSWHO ULTIMATELY PAYSAll Hawaiian ElectriccustomersProgram costs are recoveredthrough the demand-side managementsurcharge on every bill.$73.6Mestimated 10-year totalUTILITY · GRID OPERATORHawaiian ElectricPays for each kW the customercommits, not for each kWhdelivered. Checks deliveryafterward with meter data.$850per kW upfrontASSET OWNERBattery householdBuys a new battery with solar andlets it discharge for two sethours every evening for 10 years.$5per kW each month, 10 yearsINSTALLERSolar contractorSells and installs the system,files the application and sets thedaily discharge schedule.Pricepaid by the householdbillspayspurchaseSCHEDULE, DISCHARGE AND MEASUREMENT: NO EVENT IS EVER CALLEDStart time assignedHawaiian Electric assigns a startbetween 6:00 and 6:30 p.m. tostagger the fleet.Schedule programmedThe installer sets the battery torun at that time every day, weekendsincluded.Daily dischargeTwo hours of discharge, first to thehome, then exported to the grid.Meter check afterwardFive-minute smart-meter data isaudited; underperformers get anotice.start timeevery daymeter dataaudit back to Hawaiian Electric; no live control signalONE 5 kW COMMITMENT OVER 10 YEARS, GROSS$7,250 to the household for 5 kW, before any export creditUpfront, $850 × 5 kW$4,250 · 59%Monthly credit, $25 × 120 months$3,000 · 41%THE WHOLE PROGRAM, 50.76 MW COMMITTED, ESTIMATED 10-YEAR COSTAbout $73.6 million nominal, or $145 per committed kW a year, before export credits and administrationUpfront incentives$43,146,000 · 59%Monthly bill credits$30,456,000 · 41%HOW THE NUMBERS ARE BUILTPUBLISHED$850 per kW upfrontevery tierPUBLISHED$5 per kW-month10 yearsREPORTED50.76 MW, 6,724 sitesend of 2025REPORTED$9.19M program cost2025 aloneESTIMATED$73.6M over 10 yearspublished rates × MWESTIMATED~15 MW shiftedutility rough figureGross payments, not profit: the household bought the battery and gives up two hours of stored energy every evening; payments do not depend on measured delivery.There is no aggregator in the middle and no event call. Non-NEM customers also received an export credit for three years.
Incentive terms from the Battery Bonus page and the fact sheet. Committed MW, customers and 2025 cost from the 2026 annual review. Ten-year totals multiply published rates by executed MW and are estimates; they leave out export credits and administration. Schedule and audit steps from the 2024 annual review.

The outcomes

From the coal plant to the evening peak

Megawatts. Committed capacity is what customers signed up for; the last two bars are what planners relied on.

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0 MW50 MW100 MW150 MW200 MWCoal plant retiredAES Hawaii, September 2022180 MWCommitted, all applicationsOahu and Maui, April 202454.8 MWCommitted, executedend of 202550.8 MWCounted for planning2023 adequacy filing15 MWShifted to the eveningutility rough estimate, 202415 MW
Coal plant from the utility’s coal retirement release. April 2024 applications from the program page. Executed MW from the 2026 review. Planning figure from Hawaiian Electric’s 2023 adequacy of supply filing. The 15 MW shift is the utility’s “rough estimate” in the September 2024 NASEO slides, when about 47 MW was expected to be enabled.

For planners, a committed kilowatt was not a firm kilowatt. Hawaiian Electric’s 2023 adequacy filing counted only 15 MW of Battery Bonus toward Oahu’s needs (adequacy of supply report). A year later, the utility’s own rough estimate of daytime solar export shifted into the evening was the same 15 MW. Customers still received full pay on their committed kW.

Who delivered their commitment

Share of participants. 3,246 accounts with smart-meter data, tested against commitment less a 20% buffer for home use.

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0%25%50%75%100%At commitment, on timewithin 0.5 kW, at assigned start31%At commitment, off schedulestarted early or late17%Below commitment or not seensome or no discharge52%
Cadmus evaluation filed with the 2024 annual program review. “At commitment” means within 0.5 kW of committed capacity during the assigned two-hour window.

The evaluation found several causes. Many “timing issue” systems began 5–10 minutes early or 10–15 minutes late, mostly because of the 15-minute Tesla scheduling limit. About 4% of participants had committed more than 10 kW, more than a typical home battery’s continuous output of about 5 kW. The average commitment across the program is about 7.5 kW per customer. An August 2024 audit sent notices to 50 customers, and all returned to compliance by year-end (2024 annual review, audit results).

The 2025 follow-up was no more reassuring. Using January–October 2025 meter data, 63% of systems exported at least 2 kWh in their window every month, the equivalent of 1 kW; only 4% consistently exported at 70% or more (2026 annual review, performance section).

Fixed incentive for a 5 kW commitment

Upfront and monthly credits only, gross, before any export credit. Puerto Rico shown for comparison.

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$0$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000Battery Bonus$850/kW + $5/kW-month, 10 years$7,250BYOD Plus, income-qualified$800/kW upfront, 5 years$4,000BYOD Plus, standard$400/kW upfront, 5 years$2,000LUMA, Puerto Ricoabout $165 a year × 10, per kWh$1,650
Battery Bonus terms from the program fact sheet. BYOD Plus from Rule 33. Puerto Rico from our LUMA case study, at the typical participant’s pay.

The household side was generous. A 5 kW commitment earned $7,250 over 10 years in upfront pay and credits, a meaningful share of a battery’s cost. Hawaiian Electric’s presentation adds a second benefit: lower monthly bills, with 47% of participants carrying a growing negative bill balance (Hawaiian Electric slides). Those are gross payments, not profit: the household paid for the battery and gives up two hours of stored energy every evening.

What happened after the bonus

Battery Bonus compared with its successors

Megawatts committed. BYOD Plus pays half the upfront rate, or the same rate for income-qualified homes.

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0 MW15 MW30 MW45 MW60 MWBattery Bonus, end of 20246,019 customers39.7 MWBattery Bonus, end of 20256,724 customers, closed50.8 MWBYOD Level 1, end of 202422 applications, none enabled0.02 MWBYOD Plus, June 2026334 customers, 13 months in2.78 MW
Battery Bonus and BYOD Level 1 from the 2024 review tables and the 2026 review tables. BYOD Plus from the June 2026 monthly enrollment report.

The replacement programs show how much the pay mattered. BYOD Level 1 opened in April 2024. Installers did not market it because they did not think it offered enough value, and by the end of 2024 not one customer was enabled (the utility’s 2024 review). The PUC approved BYOD Plus in March 2025: $400 per kW upfront, $800 for low- and moderate-income homes, export credit at the retail rate for customers not on net metering, a customer-chosen two-hour window and a five-year term (BYOD Plus page, BYOD tariff). Thirteen months in, it had 334 customers and 2.78 MW, more than half of them income-qualified (monthly enrollment report). The utility expects slower residential uptake after the federal residential tax credit expired at the end of 2025 (program goals report).

Aggregator programs had their own trouble. Swell Energy closed in 2024; Hawaiian Electric declared it in default and terminated its contracts in January 2025 (Hawaiian Electric emerging technologies page). That left 1,241 residential participants whose batteries the utility could not control, with incentives paused (2026 review, aggregator section). Battery Bonus, with no middleman, did not face that risk.

The economic verdict

Annual cost per kilowatt

Dollars per kW per year. Not like-for-like: Battery Bonus is a 10-year average; the others are a single season or year.

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$0$100$200$300$400$500Battery Bonus, per estimated kW shifted$145 ÷ 15 of 47 MW$454ConnectedSolutions, New Englandper kW delivered, each summer$275LUMA CBES, Puerto Ricoper kW of event power, FY2026$263Battery Bonus, per committed kW$1,450 over 10 years$145
Battery Bonus: $1,450 per committed kW over 10 years from published rates; the delivered figure divides by the utility’s 15-of-47 MW estimate from the NASEO presentation. ConnectedSolutions from our ConnectedSolutions case study; LUMA from the Puerto Rico case study.

Per committed kW, Battery Bonus looks cheap: about $145 a year, below New England’s $275 pay-for-performance rate. But the utility pays on commitment, and the grid gets delivery. Dividing by Hawaiian Electric’s own estimate of what shifted, the cost rises to about $454 per kW a year. Hawaiian Electric’s 2025 benefit-cost analysis reached the same place: the grid-service programs as a group scored below 1.0, “primarily due to SDP’s high incentive expenses” (2026 annual program review).

It still did its job. It added tens of megawatts of evening battery output across thousands of homes during the year between coal and Kapolei, without new transmission or a power plant. Ratepayers paid a premium for speed and for a fleet that will keep discharging every evening until the early 2030s.

Ratepayers

Expensive insurance

An estimated $73.6 million over 10 years for about 15 MW of reliable shift, recovered through a surcharge on every bill.

Households

A generous rebate

$7,250 for a 5 kW commitment, paid whether or not the battery delivered its full commitment, plus bill savings from solar.

Installers

A sales boom, then a cliff

More than 6,700 systems in about three years, followed by a successor program they would not market.

Hawaiian Electric

A bridge, and a lesson

Evening capacity during the coal gap, plus evidence for redesigning pay around measured delivery.

Hawaii and Puerto Rico, side by side

Both islands turned to home batteries when generation fell short. They made opposite design choices. See our Puerto Rico LUMA case study.

Assets

New batteries vs. existing ones

Hawaii paid for new systems. Puerto Rico enrolled batteries already bought for backup.

Pay

Committed kW vs. delivered kWh

Hawaii paid upfront on commitment. Puerto Rico pays only for measured kWh, about 80% to the household.

Dispatch

Every evening vs. emergencies

Hawaii runs the same two hours daily. Puerto Rico calls about 50 events a year.

Control

A timer vs. aggregators

Hawaii has no middleman but no live control. Puerto Rico’s aggregators dispatch and report telemetry.

Lessons for program designers

Pay

Commitment is not delivery

Paying upfront for committed kW bought enrollment, not output. Tie at least part of pay to measured kW.

Verification

Check commitments at sign-up

Some customers committed more than their inverter could deliver. Cap commitments at verified continuous output.

Control

A timer is not a dispatch signal

Fixed schedules are cheap but blind to vendor software, storm modes and 15-minute steps. Plan for telemetry.

Term

Ten years locks in today’s price

The $5 credit runs into the 2030s, after utility-scale storage arrived. Shorter terms or step-downs keep cost aligned with need.

Successors

Pay cliffs stall the market

Halving the upfront rate and the end of a federal tax credit took enrollment from thousands a year to hundreds.

Aggregators

Middlemen add reach and risk

Swell’s exit stranded 1,241 homes. Contracts need a plan for when an aggregator fails.

Related: what Hawaiian Electric pays today in our Hawaiian Electric residential deep dive and C&I deep dive, and how other programs pay for verified performance in the New England ConnectedSolutions case study.

Method and caveats

An independent case study for program designers, regulators, installers, households and other readers. Data checked October 30, 2026.

Enrollment, cost and evaluation figures are as reported by Hawaiian Electric and its evaluator. Ten-year program totals and per-kW costs multiply published incentive rates by executed MW; they exclude export credits, administration and any penalties, and are estimates. The per-kW-shifted figure uses the utility’s rough 15 MW estimate against about 47 MW expected to be enabled and is indicative only. Household figures are gross payments, not net profit. The 2025 “70% or more” finding is read as 70% of committed capacity.

Cost-per-kW comparisons mix a 10-year average with single-season or single-year figures and are not like-for-like.

VPP Economics has no affiliation with, sponsorship from, or endorsement by Hawaiian Electric, the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission, AES, Plus Power, Tesla, Swell Energy, Cadmus or any installer or aggregator named here.

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